the destiny of Russia

Yes, it is almost clear.
Below is my conclusion from the conference (+here) which took place yesterday and day before yesterday.
Since the alcohol consumption is the only determinant of Russian mortality and fertility, we could see a repetition of Gorbi period with a new leader. There are three pix here to support the thesis (which is below): two by Andreyev, and butterfly by Keenan (drawn also by Andreyev). Theirs as well as other presentations should be available somewhere on demoscope.ru.

The mortality is going down, and fertility is going up -- this combination inevitably leads to collapse of the state. The Soviet Union is already over, Russia is next. Draw your own conclusions ;)
Additional indirect evidence comes from shrinking Russian, and growing alternatives.